ORB: Monthly Brexit Tracker – April 2018 1 year ago

Slight improvement in public view of negotiations

This month’s ORB Brexit Tracker shows a slight positive upturn in public views of Brexit negotiations, although they still have not recovered fully from the negative impact of the 2017 general election. While a majority of the public still disapprove of how the government is handling Brexit negotiations (60%), there has been a 4% increase in the proportion who do approve this wave (40%).

This change appears to be driven by increasingly positive views among the youngest and oldest age groups surveyed: approval among 18-24 year olds has risen 10 points this wave (now 33%) and there has been a 7 point increase among those aged 65 and over (now 55% approval).

Confidence in Theresa May’s negotiating ability has also risen since March and has now reached its highest recorded score since the June 2017 election undermined the faith of some; 37% now agree that the Prime Minister will get the best deal for Britain, up 6 points since March. However, these respondents are still outnumbered by those who disagree (46%, down 3).

Other measures remain largely unchanged this wave: less than half of the public continue to believe Britain will be economically better off after Brexit (45%, up 3), but around two thirds believe the country will have greater control over immigration (65%, up 1). The topic of immigration remains at the forefront for many; while negotiations focus on a future trade agreement, the proportion of the public who feel that controlling immigration is more important than having access to free trade with the EU has increased 5 points to 46%, outnumbering those who disagree (41%, down 4).

Look back at last month’s tracker here.

Download the full tables here, and the charts here.

Methodology:

N=2,000 interviews conducted among a representative sample of the UK adult population April 6th to 8th 2018. Questions have been asked over the first weekend of each month since November 2016. The statistical margin of error at the 95% confidence level is + 2.2%.

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