New ORB/Telegraph Westminster voting intention

This week: Conservatives on nine point lead one week before the election

This is ORB International’s final Westminster voting intention poll before the election on June 8th.

This week we see a slight fall in support for Labour, and a one point increase for the Conservatives.

CON 45 (+1)

LAB 36 (-2)

LD 8 (+1)

UKIP 4 (-1)

This fall in support for Labour is in part due to a fall in male Labour support – 31% this week, down from 35% last week. Female support for Labour has remained stable this week (41%, 40% last week)

There is also a small change from Leave voters. 62% of Leave voters said they will vote for Theresa May, up from 60% last week. Only 23% of leave voters will vote Labour, down from 25% last week.

Tables showing results from the past five weeks can be downloaded here.

Full tables also available.

Coverage in The Telegraph is available here.

Fieldwork was conducted Wednesday 31st May – Thursday 1st June online.

New ORB/Telegraph Westminster Voting Intention

This week: CON 44 (-2) LAB 38 (+4) LD 7 (-) UKIP 5 (-2)

Changes this week:

Female voters - there is a noticeable increase in the number of women who say they will vote Labour on the 8th June.

24th-25th May, 40%
17th-18th May, 34%
10th-11th May, 31%
4th-5th May, 35%

Private sector workers - this week we see a jump in private sector workers' support for the Labour Party

24th-25th May, 37%
17th-18th May, 30%
10th-11th May, 33%
4th-5th May, 32%

Tables showing results from the past five weeks can be downloaded here. Full tables also available.

Coverage in The Telegraph is available here.

Non-confidential intelligence reports: